Friday, January 18, 2008

Can the Undefeateds Remain Undefeated?

Unfortunately due to the weather last night I was unable to attend the Madison Memorial vs Janesville Craig game. From what others have said on wishoops it sounds like Memorial was able to handle Craig fairly easily. Memorial was able to force Craig into turnovers and on the offensive end they were able to get second and third chances at the hoop. Craig was unable to get the ball inside and outside of Cullen wasn't able to handle the Memorial pressure. With another game I got wrong my prediction total drops to 19-14.

Since I don't have a write up to do about the game I decided to talk about the undefeated teams and if they can continue their undefeated ways. I'm going to do it like the PTI's percentage game, giving a teams percentage chance of going undefeated and giving reasons why. I'll give the percentage chance of going undefeated in the regular season and then the percentage of winning it all by going undefeated.

Division 1
Milwaukee Washington - Regular Season 70% would probably be higher but, I have no idea who Washington is playing in the Chicago Hoopfest tournament this weekend. Washington has already played all the top teams in the City in Custer, Vincent, King, and Bradley Tech. Only team left that could maybe, and that's a big maybe, is Bay View if they got very very hot from the outside. Winning State 15% Yes they are undefeated and are the #1 team in the state but, Washington is in the toughest regional in the state. Custer, King, Bradley Tech will be seen again along with Wauwatosa East and Milwaukee Pius.
Waunakee- Regular Season 50% They have a rematch with a real good Deforest team and then will probably match up the defending D2 champs in the Badger Challenge, who in my opinion will beat them but, it will be close. Winning State 3% Madison schools have dominated their regional and I just don't think that Waunakee has the athletes to match up with Madison Memorial and Madison Lafollette.

Division 2
Monroe- Regular Season 50% Tonight are playing a very hot Stoughton team in Stoughton. They will then go to Deforest next week and then have a very very good Verona team coming to town before the possibly match up with Waunakee in the Badger Challenge. I think they will drop a game sometime before the Waunakee game. Winning State 30% I think they will win state but, they will not be undefeated.
Fox Valley Lutheran- Regular Season 20% Have to play Little Chute, Freedom, and Xavier again who all gave them very good games. Winning State 5% They would see those same teams again in the playoffs and then would more then likely have to play Waupon sometime.
New Richmond- Regular Season 50% Only real challenge left is Rice Lake in which case I'm 50/50 on who will win. Winning State 10% Just too tough for the teams from the north to compete with the southern teams in D2.
Edgerton- Regular Season 40% Has rematches against Parkview and Evansville who played Edgerton close and then have top 10 team Wisconsin Dells coming to town. Winning State 5% Monroe in the same regional.

Divison 3
Laconia- Regular Season 90% There is no one that can stop this team in their conference. Winning State 25% Would have to play Iola Scandenavia and Roncalli to get to state where they would then play Aquinas or Dominican eventually.
Roncalli- Regular Season 70% These guys go undefeated every year but, have played a couple tight games with some teams that they have a rematch with. Winning State 25% Will run into the same problems that I mentioned for Laconia.
Arcadia- Regular Season 10% Very tough games against Eleva Strum and Lacresent not to mention D2 Onalaska. Winning State 2% Won't be undefeated and then have Aquinas in their regional and then would have a very good opponent at state.
Hurley- Regular Season 20% Have to play conference rivals Mellen and Mercer and then have a match up with a team from Minnesota. Winning State 1% Just can't compete with the above teams mentioned.

Division 4
Eleva Strum- Regular Season 75% Only real tough game left against Arcadia which I think they'll win. Winning State 50% D4 favorite for a lot of people.
Suring- Regular Season 90% Absolutely crushing everyone in the conference. Closests conference game was 22 points beating most teams by 30-50 points. Winning State 25% Will make state undefeated but, then have Eleva Strum and Randolph in their way.
Benton- Regular Season 75% Dominating as much as Suring is. Only stumbling block may be Six Rivers Challenge. Winning State 20% Still in same sectional as Randolph.
Seneca- Regular Season 80% Very good defense should lead them to undefeated season. Winning State 5% Not enough fire power to compete with the big boys.
Hillsboro- Regular Season 50% Still have conference foe Brookwood and then D2 Richland Center. Winning state 5% Once again not enough fire power.
Luck- Regular Season 10% Hasn't reached the half way point of their season yet and has to play Webster twice yet who is undefeated in conference. Winning State 2% Same reason as Hillsboro and Seneca.

Well I have about nine teams going undefeated which probably won't happen because there are upsets and then of those nine, five I feel have a chance to go undefeated and win it all, which is a very very tough thing to do.

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